Luton Town hosts Brentford in what promises to be an entertaining Premier League game on Saturday. Luton Town is coming off a 5-1 road loss against Manchester City on Saturday while Brentford beat Sheffield United 2-0 at home on Saturday.
Luton Town is in 18th place in the Premier League standings with 25 points in 33 games while Brentford is in 15th place with 32 points in 33 games.
The player to watch in this game is Carlton Morris, who has nine goals and four assists in 33 Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Carlton Morris a 49.04 percent chance to score against Brentford. He has 67 SCA and 8 GCA in 33 Premier League games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Team to Win (Regular Time)
Luton Town 2.95
Brentford 2.28
Draw: 3.70
Spread
Luton Town 0, +0.5 (1.80)
Brentford 0, -0.5 (1.92)
Total
Over 3 (1.83)
Under 3 (1.90)
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on December 2 and Brentford won 3-1.
For Luton Town, Carlton Morris has a 49.04 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 2.59 shots overall per sim, 1.33 shots on goal per and 0.67 goals per sim.
For Brentford, Bryan Mbeumo has a 43.32 percent chance to score. He averages 2.14 shots overall per sim, 1.12 shots on goal per and 0.56 goals per sim.
Luton Town 2.95
Two-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Luton Town in this one. Average score in simulations is Luton Town 1.89 to Brentford 1.62.
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